US Election & Presidency

Truth be told, stupid Georgia is kinda of f***ing up my prediction, which was otherwise pretty close...

C'mooooon Trump!

(10-10-2020 10:14 )Goodfella3041 Wrote:  ...

That leaves 6 key states and 99 electoral college votes up for grabs: Nevada (6); Arizona (11); North Carolina (15); Ohio (18); Pennsylvania (20); and our old friend Florida (29). Biden needs another 18 of those to win; Trump needs 84.

Ohio is a dead heat, so I'm giving that to Trump -- just to be safe.

North Carolina's polling averages are leaning Democrat, but there was a big shift after the debate. When memories of that debacle fade, I think it will drift back to an even race, so I'm letting Trump have that too.

Arizona has similar odds, but Biden has been building momentum there since August and the lead appears to be holding at 3%-5%. And if you only look at the A/B-rated polls, that lead looks more like 4% to 6%. Biden will flip Arizona.

Nevada looks pretty solidly against Trump. With the exception of a couple of D-rated Survey Monkeys, the last poll to show a Trump advantage was in November 2019. Viva Las Vegas ... Biden is having Nevada too.

AND THE WINNER IS...

That gets me to a Biden advantage (but still not a win) of 269 to 220, with only Florida and Pennsylvania to play for.

Trump needs them both to win; Biden just needs to win one.

Biden has a 4-point lead over Trump in Florida and FiveThirtyEight give him a 71% chance of winning. But it's the 20th anniversary of the hanging-chads fiasco and I'd never underestimate the possibility of going to sleep with the world making sense and waking up to discover that Floridians have turned it upside down. So I'm giving Florida to Trump as a present to Slabhead. Happy Halloween

But I'm not generous with Pennsylvania. Creepy Joe Biden seems to be running away with the state -- probably because he somehow manages to sneak the fact that he grew up in Scranton into virtually every answer to any question. He's had an 8% to 10% advantage since May and the latest A/B-rated polls have him at a double-digit lead. Biden wins Pennsylvania.

My final prediction (for now):

Biden 289-249 Trump

(05-11-2020 20:38 )Tumble_Drier Wrote:  Trending on Twitter...

"STOP THE COUNT"

Also trending

"STOP THE PIGEON"

"Sesame Street" and "Dracula" were also trending I saw

The Rats have headed for the lifeboats

Awww bless

Georgia has swung from 600,000 for Trump to 9,000 votes
Pennsylvia has swung froom 500,000 for Trump to 78,000 votes

Trump to give a statement at 11:30pm. Doubt that he will be conceeding

(06-11-2020 00:19 )Charlemagne Wrote:  Georgia has swung from 600,000 for Trump to 9,000 votes
Pennsylvia has swung froom 500,000 for Trump to 78,000 votes

Trump to give a statement at 11:30pm. Doubt that he will be conceeding

He’s not . He’s talking bollocks yet again

Update CNN have just called trump “Pathetic”

After his rant: I've never seen so many anchors and commentators so upset. Including the Republican guy who thought that his statement was shameless.

There's a bad loser and there's Trump.

There was no sign of Mike Pence.

(06-11-2020 01:24 )Charlemagne Wrote:  After his rant: I've never seen so many anchors and commentators so upset. Including the Republican guy who thought that his statement was shameless.

There's a bad loser and there's Trump.

There was no sign of Mike Pence.

Apparently Pence tweeted “I agree with the president, every vote should be counted”......that’s not what Trump said

Anderson Cooper... "Trump is like an Obese Turtle, flailing on its back in the hot sun realising it's time is over"

#obeseturtle is now trending on Twitter. Oh to be a fly on the wall in the Whitehouse right now

(06-11-2020 01:41 )Rammyrascal Wrote:  

(06-11-2020 01:24 )Charlemagne Wrote:  After his rant: I've never seen so many anchors and commentators so upset. Including the Republican guy who thought that his statement was shameless.

There's a bad loser and there's Trump.

There was no sign of Mike Pence.

Apparently Pence tweeted “I agree with the president, every vote should be counted”......that’s not what Trump said

Maybe he was agreeing with Biden and he was already referring to him as the president