UFC 144: Edgar vs. Henderson Saitama, Japan, ESPN 3am
Anthony Pettis v Joe Lauzon
Striking
Strikes Landed per Min. 1.82
--2.15
Striking Accuracy 42%
--39%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 1.42
--3.21
Defense 64%
--65%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.57
--3.91
Takedown Accuracy 77%
--48%
Takedown Defense 65%
--63%
Submission Average/15 min. 1.73
--4.88
Antnony Pettis 14-2 with both losses by decision, he's a bit of an alround fighter but his last 3 have gone to decision. Joe Lauzon 21-6 has deen the distance once when he lost to Sam Stout. His submission record is 17-3, 5 of his last 6 have been finished via submission 4-1.
Hatsu Hioki v Bart Palaszewski
Strikes Landed per Min. 2.4
--2.81
Striking Accuracy 40%
--33%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 1.8
--4.01
Defense 68%
--59%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.5
--0.92
Takedown Accuracy 45%
--31%
Takedown Defense 50%
--55%
Submission Average/15 min. 0
--0.18
Hatsu Hioki 25-4 fights in his second UFC fight & is on a 5 fight win streak with only 1 loss in his last 15. He's never been stopped & 6 of his 12 submissions are via choke. Bart Palaszewski 36-14 also fights in the UFC for the second time, his 36 wins consist of KO's 17-1 SUBS 11-3 with 10 losses via decision.
Yushin Okami v Tim Boetsch
Striking
Strikes Landed per Min. 2.24
--2.86
Striking Accuracy 39%
--51%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 2.09
--2.35
Defense 65%
--62%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.76
--2.77
Takedown Accuracy 49%
--52%
Takedown Defense 83%
--53%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.61
--0.74
Yushin Okami 26-6 fights for the first time since his August loss to Anderson Silva, his UFC record is 10-3 with losses to Rich Franklin, Cheal Sonnen & Silva so a good win here may put him in line for a fight with a title contender. Tim Boetsch 14-4, his loss to Phil Davis is his only loss in 7, he won his last 2 since the Davis fight so he'll be looking to dispose of Okami to earn his own title contender fight.
Yoshihiro Akiyama v Jake Shields
Striking
Strikes Landed per Min. 2.83
--2.22
Striking Accuracy 39%
--35%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.25
--1.73
Defense 59%
--57%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.7
--3.77
Takedown Accuracy 79%
--42%
Takedown Defense 100%
--36%
Submission Average/15 min. 1.42
--1.7
Yoshihiro Akiyama 13-4 makes his welterweight debut after losing his last 3 at middleweight. With his UFC record at 1-3 he really needs to win here or his time in the UFC may be over for the time being. 3 of his UFC fights have been Fight of the Night. Jake Shields 26-6 has also lost his last 2 after coming into the UFC on a 15 fight win streak, his 10 submission wins will be tested by Akiyama's 100% takedown defence.
Mark Hunt v Cheick Kongo
Striking
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.52
--3.65
Striking Accuracy 44%
--58%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 1.85
--1.44
Defense 60%
--54%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.76
--2.5
Takedown Accuracy 60%
--67%
Takedown Defense 70%
--49%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.51
--0.31
Mark Hunt 7-7 is a strange addition to the UFC as he came into it on the back of 5 straight losses & a 5-6 record but he's won his last 2, he's also got a 30-13 kickboxing record but his lack of a ground game along with his 6 MMA submission losses don't bode well for a fight with Kongo given Kongo will be 6inch taller & a massive 8inch reach advantage. Cheick Kongo 17-6 is still to show his full potential, with a 10-4 UFC record he should be looking at a title shot but even 6 years in the UFC he's still inconsistent, that said he's unbeaten in 4.
Quinton Jackson v Ryan Bader
Striking
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.18
--2.46
Striking Accuracy 57%
--35%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 2.22
--1.5
Defense 56%
--76%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.69
--3.33
Takedown Accuracy 63%
--42%
Takedown Defense 80%
--0%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.14
--0.42
Rampage 32-9 hasn't done himself any favours by not making weight albeit he's only lost 3 of his last 13 & is 7-3 in the UFC but his last maybe 4 performances haven't been vintage & eventhough he somehow stole a win against Lyoto Machida he's not on a good run, hopefully his return to Japan where he's 13-5 & has fought a who's who in his Pride days just might spark a return to the old Rampage, but missing weight doesn't sound good & in Bader he's fighting the type of fighter he doesn't like to face. Ryan Bader 13-2 was on a roll 12-0 untill he ran into Jon Jones & ten shockingly lost to Tito & I'm not sure who the former NCAA Division I Wrestler has a 0% takedown defence
but this is a great chance to get back to where he was before his 2 losses. He's never been KO'd or lost a decision & I doubt Rampage will add to his 2 submission losses so it should be a good night for 'Darth' Bader.
Frankie Edgar v Ben Henderson
Striking
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.49
--2.45
Striking Accuracy 41%
--45%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 1.88
--1.13
Defense 74%
--63%
Grappling
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.9
--4.1
Takedown Accuracy 36%
--48%
Takedown Defense 62%
--63%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.33
--1.15
Frankie Edgar's 14-1 record is almost split in half by his decision loss to Gray Maynard who he's since drawn with & KO' after surprisingly beating BJ Penn twice to become the lightweight champion. Benson Henderson's many BBJ & tournament medals will no doubt put Edgars energetic more often than not decision winning style to the test here. 15-2 in his MMA career he's only lost 1 decision to Edgar's 8 wins & he's submitted 8 opponents where as Edgar has never been finished. Henderson has lost only 1 of his last 13 to Anthony Pettis.
UFC Openweight Predictions Grand Prix
Anthony Pettis v Joe Lauzon -
Lauzon Decision
Hatsu Hioki v Bart Palaszewski -
Hioki Submission
Yushin Okami v Tim Boetsch -
Okami Decision
Yoshihiro Akiyama v Jake Shields -
Shields Decision
Mark Hunt v Cheick Kongo -
KongoTKO
Quinton Jackson v Ryan Bader -
Bader Decision
Frankie Edgar v Ben Henderson -
Henderson Decision