RE: UFC
Middleweight
Just as the weltrweight divison features a champion who appears unbeatable, the middleweight ranks has a similar athlete manning the throne heading into 2011. Actually, he has been sitting in the big chair since October 2006, a span than includes a record seven consecutive title defenses. There are also twelve-straight wins in the Octagon overall in two divisions, a feat that puts Anderson Silva a notch above the competition, not only in the division, but in the sport's pound-for-pound pantheon.
Champion: Anderson Silva
Despite all the accomplishments outlined in the opening, people still harp on Anderson Silva with alarming regularity. All he's done since coming to the UFC is win, but in recent years, that hasn't been enough; fans and critics alike want explosive finishes similar to the exhibits Silva put on early, knocking out Chris Leben and burying Rich Franklin with knees on a pair of occasions.
Silva will stand in with Vitor Belfort in early 2011, and "The Phenom" could be just the man to bring out the violent and aggressive Anderson Silva people have been missing. This is a bout that was originally supposed to take place at UFC 112 in Abu Dhabi, but an elbow injury put Belfort on the sidelines, leaving us to endure Silva's curious encounter with Demian Maia
The thing with Silva is that for whatever negative elements he offers from time-to-time, and in spite of the criticisms that are levied against him, he hasn't been beaten in more than four years. Outside of the unbeaten and comparatively inexperienced Cain Velasquez, there isn't another UFC champion who can say the same. Just as we said with Georges St-Pierre: you should expect to see Silva atop the division for the foreseeable future.
The Challengers
As mentioned, Vitor Belfort will be the next man to try and tear the middleweight title away from Silva, getting that chance at UFC 126 in February. There are obvious elements of Belfort's game that you have to admire; a championship pedigree from the early days of the UFC, quick, lethal hands, and what seems like a renewed commitment to the sport after a handful of years in the middle of his career where "The Phenom" seemed somewhat adrift.
One thing that will certainly work against Belfort when he steps in against Silva - you know, other than the fact that he's facing the best fighter on the planet - is that he will have been inactive for 16 months prior to the contest. No matter what kind of training program Shawn Tompkins is putting him through, there is nothing that compares to competing with "The Spider" inside the cage.
Waiting in the wings for the winner of UFC 126's main event is Yushin Okami, the last man to have his hand raised win in the cage with Silva. Though the victory came via disqualification, Okami has earned his place in the #1 contender position, having won three-straight and six of his last seven. The powerful Japanese fighter has greatly improved his boxing in recent years, which works well alongside his strong grappling game. A rematch with Silva would be the ideal pairing if you asked both the fans and UFC marketing department, as the rematch angle plays well for both, but regardless of who he faces, you can be sure that Okami will be well-prepared and ready to go the distance when he finally gets his shot at the UFC middleweight title.
Chael Sonnen came closer than anyone in recent memory to beating Silva, using his powerful wrestling to put the champion on his back for most of their meeting at UFC 117. Unfortunately, Sonnen had a mental lapse in the closing moments of the meeting, getting caught in a triangle choke that turn what looked like one of the biggest upsets in MMA history into another example of Sonnen's lack of submission defence. The loss took an even more sour turn shortly after the event, as the Team Quest member tested positive for elevated testosterone levels, earning a one-year suspension that is currently under appeal.
Depending on who is holding the belt when he returns, Sonnen will be no more than a win away from standing across the cage from the champion once again; his performance prior to being submitted by Silva was equal parts unexpected and impressive, and earned him an immediate rematch prior to the positive test. If Silva still has the belt, expect Sonnen to face a Top 5 opponent to try and earn another shot at "The Spider" in 2011.
The Second Tier
More than any division, the 185-pound grouping in the UFC suffers from a lack of top-end talent, while presenting an abundance of middle-tier competitors who are always on the verge of contention. While I personally do not see any of the upcoming competitors as true challengers for the middleweight title heading into 2011, the lack of options paired with an abundance of other variables could have one - or more - of these men vying for a belt next year.
Nate Marquardt is essentially "the best of the rest" in the middleweight ranks; too good to really be considered middle of the pack, but thus far unable to get over the hump and back into a title bout with Silva. He missed on two such tries in 2010, dropping decision to both Sonnen (UFC 109) and Okami (UFC 122), while earning an odd win over Rousimar Palhares in between the two. A title shot is almost entirely out of the question in 2011.
Next Saturday, Demian Maia will face Kendall Grove at The Ultimate Fighter Finale in Vegas. While the Brazilian jiu jitsu wizard is an outstanding competitor on the ground, the glaring hole in his stand-up makes it impossible to consider him a true challenger to the championship at this point. The days of being able to excel with only one dominant trait are over, so while Maia will continue to impressive with his submission game, he needs to round out his offensive arsenal before he can be moved up from this middle ground of the middleweight division.
Michael Bisping is very similar to Dan Hardy, and not just because they're both Brits. Like Hardy, Bisping would have you believe that he is a serious threat to the middleweight champion and ready to take that next step in 2011. Truthfully, Bisping is the epitome of this middle ground, a fighter who dominates weaker competiton, but has consistenty failed to take the next step. That said, more than anyone else in this group, Bisping could be elevated into contender status with a win or two in 2011 because of his main event status overseas and the overall lack of quality challengers at the top of the heap.
One last man who could make a case for a title shot by adding a win or two to his resume in 2011 is "The Axe Murderer" Wanderlei Silva. The former Pride champion is a massive fan favorite and holds a victory over Bisping from the UFC's first foray to Australia. He's been on the sidelines since, but his charisma, penchant for explosive encounters and popularity could make Silva an easier sell than most if he's able to put another tick or two in the win column.
The Others You'll See
Chris Leben is never going to go away, and that is a good thing. "The Crippler" enjoyed a career resurgence in 2010, winning a pair of fights in the span three weeks and three overall for the year. Unfortunately, Leben crashed his truck in Hawaii at the end of October, resulting a DUI arrest. While there has a conclusion hasn't reached in regards to the situation, the unfortunate incident clouds an otherwise impressive year and makes you once again wonder if Leben can continue to make a dedicated commitment to competing in the Octagon.
Jorge Rivera has a chance to elevate himself into the middle tier of the division - if he isn't there already - with a win over Bisping in Australia early next year. The veteran competitor earned an impressive victory over Nate Quarry in March, but it is the lone substantial win for Rivera in the last two years; beating the likes of Rob Kimmons and Nissen Osterneck do not carry enough weight to make you a reasonable threat in my books.
A wild card in the mix due to a career-threatening injury is Alan Belcher. Had "The Talent" not suffered a detached retna at the start of August, he would undoubtedly be alongside the man he was supposed to fight - Demian Maia - in the second tier of the division. The skills are there and Belcher continued to impress and improve over the first half of 2010, but the nature of his injury is such that you have to take a wait-and-see approach with the Mississippi native heading into 2011.
Because he is a major name in the Pacific Rim, Yoshihiro Akiyama will continue to get opportunities inside the Octagon, but the days of considering the Japanese judoka a threat are done. Depending on who you ask, Akiyama is either 1-2 or 0-3 in the UFC, having earned a questionable split decision victory over Belcher in his debut at UFC 100. Since then, he's been entertaining but unsuccessful opposite Leben and Bisping, dropping him way down the ladder.
Few fights were as odd as Rousimar Palhares' meeting with Nate Marquardt in September. After dropping to the canvas and attempting a heel hook, Palhares stopped fighting and motioned to referee Herb Dean, believing that Marquardt was curiously slippery that early into the fight. Dean did not interjecy - rightfully - and Marquardt blasted the Brazilian into a stoppage defeat. While he's since apologized for his accusations of cheating and eagerly awaits a return to the cage, that kind of lack of focus is enough to leave "Toquinho" on the fringes of the middleweight division for me. A couple wins can get him back into the mix, but for now, he needs to show me that he's ready to fight no matter what.
After bouncing former title challenger Patrick Cote from the organization back in October, you can be sure that Tom Lawlor will continue to earn opportunities inside the cage in 2011. Unfortunately for us, the former TUF 8 contestant has said that his trademark flamboyant weigh-in performances and ring entrances are a thing of the past, deciding instead to focus solely on putting together a string of victories instead. Selfish bastard...
Lastly, so long as Alessio Sakara avoids tuna, we will continue seeing the heavy-hitting Italian trying to send heads rolling in 2011. "Legionarius" has looked really good since shifting his training to American Top Team in Florida, earning wins over Thales Leites and James Irvin over the last 18 months. What makes Sakara a constant question mark, however, is his health. Injuries and illnesses have knocked him out of an abnormal amount of contests in the last few years, making gaining momentum impossible. Staying healthy should his most important goal in 2011.
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