UFC 131
I'm gonna be honest, I've only heard of or seen half of the fighters on the main card
Donald Cerrone v Vagner Rocha
I vaguely remember Cerrone from his fight with Paul Kelly, he's from the Greg Jackson camp so is no doubt a good fighter but with 12 of his 14 wins coming by submission... Well, Rocha is a newcomer to MMA making his debut in 2009 & this is his UFC debut a BBJ black belt 6-1 with 4 subs. -
Cerrone Decision
Jon Olav Einemo v Dave Herman
Norwegian BBJ black belt Olav Einemo has been around MMA for over 10 years but has only had 7 fights 6-1, 5 subs, he's mostly fought in BBJ tournaments getting to atleast the Quarter Finals & apparently is the only man to beat Roger Gracie in the Abu Dhabi Combat Club tournament & has also beat Rolles Gracie. His only MMA loss was in his only appearance in a worldwide known organization at Pride 31 a decision loss to Fabricio Werdum he makes his UFC debut at 35 years old.
Herman has a very impressive record of 20-2 with 14 KO's but is making his first appearance of note in a major promotion, 18 of his 20 wins have come in the first round with his first 11 fights & wins coming this way, his only 2 losses are by KO R2 & DQ illegal knees R2, at 26 he's got a good few years ahead of him but his record says he's either the next big thing or just a stand up fighter & that is dangerous against a world class BBJ fighter although how many times Olav Einemo has fought this kind of opponent could be the difference with regards to his takedowns if he can get close. This on paper having never seen either fighter looks like a 1 round fight but a pretty intriguing one. -
Olav Einemo Submission
Demian Maia v Mark Muñoz
Interesting fight this pitting 10 v 12 in the mythical MMA rankings. 3rd degree BBJ black belt Maia against wrestler & BBJ purple belt Muñoz, I say interesting as Maia is clearly a world class BBJ fighter but since
that fight with Anderson Sliva, Maia 14-2, 8 Subs 2 KO's has been working on his standup & looked good in his last fight against Kendall Grove & Muñoz 10-2, 5 KO's 1 Sub has more KO wins than subs which is quite strange for a wrestler, so a fight that looked like being a 3 round ground chess match may turn out to be a toe to toe standup fight
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Maia Submission
Kenny Florian v Diego Nunes
After losing TUF final to Diego Sanchez at Middleweight then making his UFC debut at Welterweight & 2 fights later spending the rest of his career at Lightweight & after losing a title eliminator to Gray Maynard Ken-Flo is now making his Featherweight Debut & possibly being the only fighter in UFC if not MMA history to fight in 4 weight divisions. Nunes is fighting for the second time in the UFC after 5 fights in WEC all going to decision 4-1. both fighters are BBJ fighters although Florian is the far superior as a 2nd degree black belt to Nunes's purple belt & both have good standup with Muay Thai, boxing & kick boxing, Nunes is 16-1 with an even finish record & was on a 13 fight win streak untill he had his first loss but since entering the WEC all 6 of his fights have gone to a decision, Kenny is 14-5, 3 Subs & has only lost 4 of his UFC fights, TUF final & 2 title fights to Sean Sherk & BJ Penn along with the eliminator to Gray Maynard & Dana White has said if he wins this fight then he'll most likely get a title shot against Jose Aldo. -
Florian Submission
Junior dos Santos v Shane Carwin
Many things could happen in this fight, the most obvious being they'll stand & try & remove each others head but there's too much on the line for them to take that risk. Carwin hasn't fought since getting beat by Lesnar just over a year ago & is coming back from major surgery aswell as changing his fitness & training. dos Santos is fighting for the first time in 10 months so there's a possibility for both fighters to suffer octagon rust although unlike Carwin dos Santos hasn't had any problems & most of this time was taken up by TUF.
Both fighters have massive standup skills & power with 15 KO's between them dos Santos 8, Carwin 7 & 8 Subs dos Santos 3, Carwin 5 & both are 12-1, so what will it take to separate them???
Should the fight go to the ground, more than likely initiated by dos Santos to take some of the questionable cardio away from Carwin then paper says Carwin's wrestling should see him dominate but as most wrestlers in the UFC are seen as the best of the best Carwin is only a NCAA Division II runner up & once chamipion, not bad but his 5 sub wins have all come in local shows against no doubt smaller fighters so maybe he could switch to his purple belt BBJ, as you well know having heard from Joe Rogan a purple belt BBJ is pretty much a black in normal jiu jitsu but Junior dos Santos is a brown belt BBJ one level higher than purple:
Aside from the exceptional belts awarded at the highest levels, brown belt is the highest "color" belt rank within the art of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, providing a transition between the intermediate purple belt rank and the elite black belt. Brown belt is arguably the beginning of the elite ranks in and of itself, typically taking at least 5 years of dedicated training to achieve. As a transitional rank, it is often thought of as a time for refining rather than accumulation, where a practitioner hones already acquired technical and practical skills until they reach a black belt level. add to this the fact dos Santos trains at the Black House gym along with Anderson Silva, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira, Lyoto Machida, Antônio Rogério Nogueira, Paulo Thiago, José Aldo, Mark Muñoz, Diego Nunes, Ronaldo Souza Strikeforce Middleweight champion all in all the gym has had 7 champions in 3 different MMA organizations 3 of which are current champions & god only knows how many black belts not to mention all the hours spent grappling on the ground, so just as Shane Carwin doesn't use his wrestling skills, Junior dos Santos dosen't use his BBJ skills the reason being up untill now they haven't needed to but like I said this fight is far too important to just go all out on the feet somebody somewhere has been putting a grandmaster plan together & given dos Santos was supposed to fight the might, power & supreme wrestling skills of Brock Lesnar you have to say that all the talk sways in the direction of the Brazilian but all that is just on paper & on Sunday morning the only thing that dos Santos & Carwin will be fighting on is the canvas of the octagon floor.
I think the key to this fight may lay in who gets the first takedown as that's the way I see this fight going with the dos Santos camp wanting to test the cardio of Carwin in his first competitive action in a year & with all the training partners at his disposal I can't see dos Santos letting Carwin leave a leg or an arm hanging without taking advantage of it, but like I said the only place all the talking stops is in the octagon.
This fight is probably the hardest to call since I've been doing the predictions as it's easy to say they will just stand & bang but I think we might see a change in strategy from atleast one of them & given he was supposed to fight Brock Lesnar I think that change will come from Junior dos Santos (Although I'm still not sure myself as I'm writing) I can see the fight going to the floor if not in the first then in the second after dos Santos's corner saying he's tired take him down at which point dos Santos may get a TKO groundnpound win??? -
dos Santos TKO
At first look this card didn't look great but after writing this it may turn out to be quite decent although I'm sure I've said this before & been left disappointed.