US Election & Presidency - Printable Version +- The UK Babe Channels Forum (https://www.babeshows.co.uk) +-- Forum: General (/forumdisplay.php?fid=19) +--- Forum: All Other Subjects (/forumdisplay.php?fid=114) +---- Forum: News Zone (/forumdisplay.php?fid=111) +---- Thread: US Election & Presidency (/showthread.php?tid=68468) Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743 744 745 746 747 748 749 750 751 752 753 754 755 756 757 758 759 760 761 762 763 764 765 766 |
RE: US Election & Presidency - The Silent Majority - 09-10-2020 09:14 (09-10-2020 08:58 )HannahsPet Wrote: Expecting an epic meltdown the nobel peace prize is announced today and bookies have either WHO or Greta thunberg winning And Pelosi's started a commission to look into Congress enacting the 25th amendment. It's not going to come to anything this close to the election. She's clearly trying to wind him up It's going to be a fun day RE: US Election & Presidency - HannahsPet - 09-10-2020 09:22 yeah the way she was all dressed in Orange with an facemask with oranges on it RE: US Election & Presidency - lovebabes56 - 09-10-2020 09:31 To quote a phrase ; - "You know when you've been Tango-ed!" I'm beginning to think is Trump Davros' evil twin brother? RE: US Election & Presidency - The Silent Majority - 09-10-2020 09:40 (09-10-2020 09:31 )lovebabes56 Wrote: I'm beginning to think is Trump Davros' evil twin brother? That's a bit harsh. Davros doesn't deserve that RE: US Election & Presidency - Slabhead - 10-10-2020 01:36 (08-10-2020 16:14 )lancealot790 Wrote: Don’t bother, left wing nut jobs are not interested in debate, they only listen to people who agree with them. It really is quite telling the silence I receive when I've bought up Biden's seediness that is captured right on camera, I think taking place even in the White House. That isn't an allegation, that's something everyone can see. If I wanted to, I could bring up the allegations towards Biden himself... RE: US Election & Presidency - Slabhead - 10-10-2020 01:49 (08-10-2020 19:34 )Goodfella3041 Wrote: A bit unfair. I haven't told anyone to go away, even though I've been told a couple of times to eff off lol, though I do appreciate those defending my right to speak. At worst I've told someone to shut up in a jokey 'outraged' manner, which I had to clarify. Otherwise my tone has been perfectly measured. (08-10-2020 19:34 )Goodfella3041 Wrote: What I'm reluctant to do is take the bait on these absurd "creepy Joe" accusations. He's an overly tactile, close-talking grandpa. Lame excuse. Not every grandpa likes kissing their granddaughters on the lips or worse, being touchy freely towards underage kids. There is nothing 'grandfatherly' about the latter in particular RE: US Election & Presidency - Slabhead - 10-10-2020 01:52 (08-10-2020 22:33 )The Silent Majority Wrote:(08-10-2020 16:14 )lancealot790 Wrote: Don’t bother, left wing nut jobs are not interested in debate, they only listen to people who agree with them. Thoughts on 'trans women' being allowed in women's changing rooms? Let's see how oh so minor a problem far leftism is compared to the scary behemoth of the far right EDIT: Also, I haven't seen anyone here say a thing that befits them being described as 'far right'. RE: US Election & Presidency - lovebabes56 - 10-10-2020 07:47 I think most of us wouldn't want to be pushed into a situation or position to state whether we are on the far left or far right, and likely much prefer to keep that sort of view to ourselves and not be public about it. Trump has no idea when he next likely to be tested but is to hold an event from the White House for his supporters. Doubt it will be allowed to go ahead if he is positive. RE: US Election & Presidency - Goodfella3041 - 10-10-2020 09:14 This is a fun game to play if you're an avid election-watcher: 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map You can select "blank map" and then run your own scenario of how it might go. I just did a version where I plotted what I think are all the "safe" Democratic and Republic states (i.e. a >90% chance of winning). That gets me to 252 safe electoral college votes for Biden and 187 for Trump. BLUE STATES The "safe" Biden states are the usual democratic strongholds: the West Coast (California, Washington, Oregon); the north east seaboard (from Virginia to Maine); Minnesota, Illinois and Hawaii. From the look of polls, I'm also giving Biden two of the rust belt battlegrounds: Wisconsin and Michigan. These voted pretty heavily for Obama in 2008 and 2012, then broke for Trump by the tiniest of margins in 2016 (just 12,000 votes in Wisconsin). I think they're coming home in 2020. RED STATES On the Republican side, I've assumed that all the usual Republic strongholds will stay red, including all of the South (Georgia, South Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi, etc.), and most of the central and mountain states. Every election, the Democrats get terribly excited about 'flipping' Texas and its 38 votes, but I still can't see it happening in 2020. He can have Texas too. BATTLEGROUNDS That leaves 6 key states and 99 electoral college votes up for grabs: Nevada (6); Arizona (11); North Carolina (15); Ohio (18); Pennsylvania (20); and our old friend Florida (29). Biden needs another 18 of those to win; Trump needs 84. Ohio is a dead heat, so I'm giving that to Trump -- just to be safe. North Carolina's polling averages are leaning Democrat, but there was a big shift after the debate. When memories of that debacle fade, I think it will drift back to an even race, so I'm letting Trump have that too. Arizona has similar odds, but Biden has been building momentum there since August and the lead appears to be holding at 3%-5%. And if you only look at the A/B-rated polls, that lead looks more like 4% to 6%. Biden will flip Arizona. Nevada looks pretty solidly against Trump. With the exception of a couple of D-rated Survey Monkeys, the last poll to show a Trump advantage was in November 2019. Viva Las Vegas ... Biden is having Nevada too. AND THE WINNER IS... That gets me to a Biden advantage (but still not a win) of 269 to 220, with only Florida and Pennsylvania to play for. Trump needs them both to win; Biden just needs to win one. Biden has a 4-point lead over Trump in Florida and FiveThirtyEight give him a 71% chance of winning. But it's the 20th anniversary of the hanging-chads fiasco and I'd never underestimate the possibility of going to sleep with the world making sense and waking up to discover that Floridians have turned it upside down. So I'm giving Florida to Trump as a present to Slabhead. Happy Halloween But I'm not generous with Pennsylvania. Creepy Joe Biden seems to be running away with the state -- probably because he somehow manages to sneak the fact that he grew up in Scranton into virtually every answer to any question. He's had an 8% to 10% advantage since May and the latest A/B-rated polls have him at a double-digit lead. Biden wins Pennsylvania. My final prediction (for now): Biden 289-249 Trump RE: US Election & Presidency - Charlemagne - 10-10-2020 10:31 Trump's been bigging up the Regeneron... with his cure for Covid. Demand in the drug has now surged.. I bet the shareholders will be delighted, whoever they are. |